December 17, 2021
LPL Research presents Outlook 2022
This information is not intended to be a substitute for individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax advisor.
The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.
December 7, 2021
Monthly Market Commentary, courtesy of SEI Investment Management
March 12, 2021
Are You Eligible for the Latest Stimulus Payment?
March 9, 2021
Beginning this month, we will begin sharing a Monthly Market Commentary, courtesy of SEI Investment Management.
October 15, 2020
The Pandemic, Politics and Markets
October 6, 2020
Medicare Open Enrollment Begins October 15th
Open enrollment for Medicare runs October 15th through December 7th this year.
The Medicare.gov website and blog feature some helpful information and answers to most commonly asked questions.
Please contact us if you would like us to prepare a financial plan for retirement including healthcare expenses.
October 1, 2020
Danger Ahead? What the US election and ongoing pandemic mean for the stock market
As investors start receiving their 3rd quarter statements, many people will be pleasantly surprised to see how their accounts have bounced back from the March lows, even despite some downward movement in September.
The question that we are asked most these days is, "Is the worst behind us?"
While no one can answer that with any real level of confidence, we can anticipate potential threats to the stock market and act accordingly. What the stock market hates more than anything is uncertainty. So what do we have to be uncertain about now?
First, most Americans are fixated on the upcoming presidential election. There is a common, but largely incorrect, belief that the stock market performs better with a Republican in the White House than it does with a Democrat. We only need to look back at the past two Democratic Presidents- Obama and Clinton- to see that the market enjoyed tremendous growth during their time in office. With a moderate Democrat in Biden running against Trump, I am not sure that either candidate presents a huge risk to stocks, based solely on their economic agendas. The greatest risk I see in the short-term is a contested election in which the results aren't verified for an extended period of time. If either candidate secures a decisive victory, I believe this takes one of our greatest uncertainties off the table.
If the heated election wasn't enough, the world is still dealing with the ongoing Coronavirus pandemic. Without a vaccine or even a unified approach in containing the spread of COVID-19, the economic effects of the virus could linger for some time. Small businesses including restaurants and retail have been among the most impacted by the pandemic. As lower- to mid-income Americans lose their jobs and, in some cases, their homes, the ripples continue to spread. Since the early days of coronavirus in the US, Wall Street has largely shrugged off the problems of Main Street. Stocks have soared since March, despite the economic damage that really hasn't shown many signs of letting up. While we may not revisit the market lows of this past spring, I think ongoing volatility is a near certainty and another significant drop in stock prices is a definite possibility.
Investors approaching or in retirement should generally keep more cash and bonds in their portfolios than they normally would. This is a good time to reflect on your personal risk tolerance and consider whether reviewing your asset allocation makes sense. As the market has bounced back over the past few months, we have spoken with many of our clients to make sure they are comfortable with the risk and return possibilities of their investments. It's much better to be proactive and anticipate potential dangers- as well as opportunities- that lie ahead than to scramble and overreact to negative circumstances as they occur.
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.
June 15, 2020
Should you consider a Roth IRA conversion?
Many investors are now considering converting all or part of their Traditional IRAs to Roth IRAs. Why might you consider this?
1. Withdrawals from Traditional IRAs are taxable as ordinary income, while qualified withdrawals from Roth accounts are tax-free.
2. If you expect to be in a lower tax bracket this year due to a loss of income or a business slowdown, this may be a good opportunity to convert at a lower rate.
3. Although the market has come back strongly the past two months, many IRA accounts are still down for the year. If you do a Roth conversion, the amount you convert will be taxable (due April 15, 2021), but it will possibly be based on a lower account balance.
Let us know if you'd like to see how a Roth IRA conversion could work for you.
Traditional IRA account owners have considerations to make before performing a Roth IRA conversion. These primarily include income tax consequences on the converted amount in the year of conversion, withdrawal limitations from a Roth IRA, and income limitations for future contributions to a Roth IRA. In addition, if you are required to take a required minimum distribution (RMD) in the year you convert, you must do so before converting to a Roth IRA.
June 10, 2020
If you are one of the small businesses who was able to get assistance through the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), there are new provisions regarding the forgiveness of the loan. Among other things, you can now spend 60% on payroll (down from 75%), you can use the funds over 24 weeks instead of 8 and you have up to 5 years to repay the loan rather than 2.
May 18, 2020
Losing your job can be a frightening proposition any time it happens, but being unemployed during these uncertain times adds a whole new level of stress and anxiety. Given the staggering unemployment numbers we're seeing, there is a decent probability that you or someone you know has been downsized- or may be in the future.
If you find yourself out of work, there are a few important things to do right away.
- File for unemployment benefits immediately. Don't be embarrassed about it. It's not your fault that you lost your job, and millions of other Americans find themselves in a position that they never envisioned being in. The recent stimulus package increased benefits by $600 a week for the first four months. Eligibility has also been expanded to freelance and furloughed workers who were not previously able to collect.
- Figure out how your company's health insurance will work. COBRA coverage allows you to continue your employer's medical coverage for a specified period of time, but you should find out how much it costs and how long it will last.
- Don't cash in your 401(k)! It might be tempting to take your balance in cash now that you are without a paycheck, but make sure you understand your options and the tax ramifications of each. You can roll it over to an IRA, leave it where it is or take it in cash. Talk to your financial advisor about the pros and cons of each.
- Find out if you have any company stock, options, accrued sick or vacation time or other financial benefits that you are entitled to. Don't walk away from money that is owed to you.
April 17, 2020
We vividly recall the financial crisis of 2008. The economy was quickly contracting, several financial institutions required bailouts, layoffs abounded, and the stock market plunged.
But we weren't grappling with fear tied to a health crisis then. We could attend the theater, eat at a restaurant, travel, or enjoy a live sports event. The roots of today's crisis are different, and nowadays we are in the midst of both an economic and health crisis. Activities outside the home have been greatly curtailed.
It's unsettling for everyone.
As we are all aware, the speed of the decline in stocks has been swift. Since the February 19 peak, the S&P 500 Index shed 34%, plummeting to its most recent low on March 23 (St. Louis Federal Reserve data).
The pace of the sell-off can be traced to the enormous amount of uncertainty tied to shutting down major portions of the economy. What will its ultimate impact be? The brightest minds continue to debate this.
We don't know what might happen next year, but the long-term historical trend has been favorable. Let's continue to keep our long-term financial goals in mind, even during these trying times.
Since last month's low, the S&P 500 Index rallied 25% through April 9. Technically, a 20% rally from the market's bottom constitutes a new bull market-technically. As of April 9, the S&P 500 Index was a modest 16% below its February 19 peak (St. Louis Fed data). The recovery has been cautiously encouraging, and I believe there are three variables that can be cited.
First, the federal government passed the CARES Act. The bill includes over $2 trillion in spending, generous jobless benefits, loans and grants to businesses, stimulus checks, and more. It offers a much more aggressive response than in 2008. More will be needed, but it's a good start.
Second, the Federal Reserve has aggressively responded. Pre-crisis, there were questions whether the Fed had the necessary tools in its tool kit, given that interest rates were already low. Apparently, they do.
With much greater speed than in 2008, the Fed has launched numerous programs aimed at propping up the economy-from big business to Main Street.
The two-pronged attack has not been executed flawlessly, but it has cautiously encouraged investors to dip their toes back into stocks. While the economic outlook remains fluid, investors are trying to discern some form of an economic recovery in the second half of the year.
Third, there are signs the virus may be peaking. An April 12 headline in Bloomberg News offered a cautiously upbeat headline: "CDC Says U.S. Near Peak; 70 Vaccines in Pipeline." With signs that new cases may be peaking, talk is surfacing over how to best reopen shuttered industries.
That said, remember, no one rings a bell that sounds the all-clear signal. Collectively, markets attempt to price in future events. I would expect large daily swings, both to the upside and downside, to continue amid the uncertainty.
We don't know if we'll see an uptick in new cases this summer when the economy reopens. We don't know if an effective treatment will be developed or how quickly a vaccine might come online.
And, for that matter, we don't know how quickly most folks will venture back into restaurants, airplanes or the public square.
We are living in a world that nobody could possibly have envisioned a few months ago. The impact caused by the virus has disrupted life around the globe. We have friends and loved ones who are dealing with this disease. It's incredibly unpleasant.
Yet, unexpected blessings have surfaced. People are reaching out to family and friends via texting and emails. Some are even connecting the old-fashioned way-by phone.
Families are closer than they have ever been before. Activities and jobs around the country have been suspended but not ended. And I am confident we will see an economic recovery take root and the pandemic will subside.
We are a resilient people. Together we will get through this dark night, and we will be stronger for it.
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.
April 16, 2020
- Unfortunately, this crisis has brought out the worst in some people. There are reports of scams going on, especially with regard to Social Security and the new government programs designed to help people through the pandemic. As always, be very careful about incoming calls and emails pretending to be from a government authority or agency. Other tips can be found in this article from the Boston Globe.
- You probably already know that the deadline for filing your 2019 tax return has been pushed back to July 15th. If you generally pay estimated quarterly taxes, the first and second quarter due dates have now also been changed to July 15th.
- If you are waiting on your Economic Relief payment either by direct deposit or check, you can now check on the status at the IRS website.
April 9, 2020
While the volatility we've become accustomed to lately has continued, it does seem like there have been more good days than bad recently on Wall Street. Major stock indices are well off their recent lows and there are some indications that COVID-19 infections are very close to peaking. Some are suggesting that fewer people will be infected and die from the Coronavirus than some earlier models had indicated. On top of that, Bernie Sanders announced he was ending his bid for the Democratic nomination. This was perhaps already a foregone conclusion, but for investors who worried about tax increases and his perceived anti-business platform, this was good news.
We welcome any positive news regarding the global pandemic, but know there are still difficult times ahead and questions about what the economy will look like when we resume some semblance of normalcy.
Will Americans flock to restaurants and malls as soon as they are able or will they remain cautious? Will businesses begin hiring in earnest or will they take a wait-and-see approach to how things evolve? Will sports fans pack stadiums and arenas as they always have or will they be reluctant to spend two or three hours closely surrounded by thousands of strangers? Will anyone take a real summer vacation this year?
From an investment standpoint, we are seeing- at least from our clients- that people are far less panicked than during the last financial crisis. They want to know that they have money available if they need it in the short-term, but largely believe that investment portfolios will go back up in time and they just need to be patient.
Many Americans are now experiencing day-to-day hardships that they've never encountered before. Successful small business owners have to lay off valuable employees and wonder if they'll be able to pay next month's rent. People with excellent credit are suddenly unemployed and struggling to pay their mortgage. For the first time in their lives, some are filing for unemployment benefits.
There is some help now available as a result of the recent Coronavirus-related stimulus package. Below, we have listed some resources and information for individuals and business owners, but please feel free to contact us if you have any questions about your financial situation or programs available to you.
April 8, 2020
This article is on the experian.com website and gives information about the one-time stimulus payments- who is eligible, what are the income limitations, etc.
Small business owners are eligible for the new Payroll Protection Program. These federally-backed loans are potentially forgivable if employers keep all employees on the payroll for 8 weeks and the money is used for payroll, rent, mortgage interest or utilities.
April 6, 2020
I saw this article in the Wall Street Journal this morning about what to do if you are struggling to pay your mortgage due to coronavirus-related hardships.
March 31, 2020
After an encouraging week for stocks last week in which the markets were up 18%, investors may be asking, "Is the worst behind us?" Even with a positive start Monday, I would continue to temper expectations and preach patience.
During times like this, it is not unusual for there to be short-term rallies in the midst of longer-term market slumps. So, do I think the worst is behind us? I don't. Those of you who have known me for a while know I tend to be a bit cautious about the short-term but much more optimistic about the long-term.
Because there is still so much uncertainty about the spread of the Coronavirus, its economic impact and eventual containment, I would expect significant volatility for several months. That is not to say that all the volatility will be in the negative direction, but there could be more big ups and downs ahead.
1. The virus spread in the US must begin to slow so that the ultimate impact on the economy can be understood.
2. There must be evidence that the recent measures by Congress and the Federal Reserve are sufficient.
3. Investor sentiment and positioning must bottom out.
As was evidenced last week, stock rallies can be fast and furious. The best way to ensure that you don't miss out is to not get out of stocks when markets are bad. By now, many of you have probably seen the statistics indicating that missing even a few of the first days of an extended market rally are enough to significantly curtail your portfolio's long-term performance. As we often say, time in the market is much more important than timing the market.
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful.
March 30, 2020
- Massachusetts has now delayed its tax-filing deadline to July 15th to coincide with the federal deadline. You also have until that date to make IRA contributions for 2019.
- The Department of Homeland Security has pushed back the deadline for the Real ID to October 2021. The original deadline was October 1, 2020. The Real ID will eventually be needed for domestic air travel and for getting onto military bases or secure federal facilities.
March 27, 2020
How much money could you receive from the Coronavirus relief bill?
March 26, 2020
It was previously announced that you now have until July 15 to file and pay federal taxes without penalty or interest. As a followup,
you also have until July 15 to fund IRAs for 2019. At the time of this writing, Massachusetts and some other states are sticking with the April 15th deadline, but I would expect that this may change very soon.
There are some provisions in the stimulus package that pertain to retirement accounts:
- If you have not already taken your Required Minimum Distribution (RMD) for 2020, you may refrain from taking it this year. While some clients have already taken their RMD earlier in the year and others rely on the annual withdrawal for income, those who don't need the cash can keep the money invested. This may prevent clients from being forced to sell stocks or mutual funds in a down market.
- Loans from 401k plans are capped at 50% of account value or $50,000, but the maximum loan value is now being raised to $100,000.
- The 10% IRS early withdrawal penalty on IRAs for people under the age of 59 1/2, is being waived for some coronavirus-related exceptions. This applies to withdrawals up to $100,000 and requires a hardship related to COVID-19. I expect there will be some guidance from the IRS in the coming days.
More information can be found in this article posted yesterday on cnbc.com
March 25, 2020
The following article, published yesterday in the New York Times, has a ton of helpful information for people that may be suffering financially due to the Coronavirus crisis. Help topics include:
- how to apply for unemployment insurance
- the new paid leave law
- what to do about student loans
- help for renters and homeowners and more.
If you know anyone who could use some financial advice during this difficult time, we are offering free 30 minute phone consultations. Feel free to pass that along.
March 20, 2020
We thought we'd share some news and updates that you may find helpful.
- First, it was announced this morning that the federal tax-filing deadline has been pushed back to July 15th. This follows the earlier news that Americans could delay paying owed taxes until July 15th. So, now you have until July to file
and pay taxes without penalty or interest. At this time, Massachusetts and other states are sticking with the April 15th deadline, but I would expect that this may change soon.
- For business owners affected by the economic impact of the Coronavirus, the
US Small Business Administration is providing low-interest loans for those who don't have credit available elsewhere. For more information or to apply for assistance, go to
https://www.sba.gov/funding-programs/disaster-assistance.
- Some clients who have non-retirement accounts have the option to open a
securities-backed line of credit (SBLOC).
An SBLOC offers flexibility and convenient access to your funds through a revolving line of credit secured by the assets in the SEI portfolio. The SBLOC lets you access the value of your investment portfolio without disrupting your carefully constructed investment strategy- or forcing you to sell stocks while the market is down.
An SBLOC is ideal for clients who need access to funds for real estate purchases, tuition payments, taxes or other large expenses - anything except the purchase of additional securities. Since the portfolio is held as collateral, you may avoid potential tax consequences associated with liquidating assets.
Applying for an SBLOC involves minimal paperwork and there are no application or set up fees. No interest will be charged until the line is in use, and there are no annual maintenance fees for simply having the line in place. If you would like more information, please let us know.
- And last, if you own a Traditional IRA it may be worth considering a Roth IRA conversion. With account values lower and some people facing a year earning less income than in the past, the tax implications may not be as significant. Any amount converted from a Traditional to Roth IRA is taxable, but once in the Roth, earnings grow tax-deferred and qualified withdrawals during retirement are tax-free (as opposed to being taxed as ordinary income with a Traditional IRA). If you want to see if this could make sense for you, give us a call and we'll take a look at the pros and cons of a conversion.
Content in this material is for general information only and not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual.
Traditional IRA account owners have considerations to make before performing a Roth IRA conversion. These primarily include income tax consequences on the converted amount in the year of conversion, withdrawal limitations from a Roth IRA, and income limitations for future contributions to a Roth IRA. In addition, if you are required to take a required minimum distribution (RMD) in the year you convert, you must do so before converting to a Roth IRA.
March 18, 2020
Based on the continuously changing recommendations and guidance from state and federal officials, we have decided to temporarily refrain from conducting client meetings in our offices. As many of you know, we share our office with a small law firm and a CPA practice. We have jointly agreed to close the office to visitors to keep below the recommended guideline of 10 people or less in a confined area.
We are available for meetings and conversations over the phone or by video conference, and are working to respond to your emails and calls as quickly as possible.
Over the past few weeks, some people have begun to have flashbacks to the financial crisis of 2008. While the anxious feelings and sinking stocks may seem familiar, this is certainly different. So far, the current effects on the market are less severe than the effects of the 2008 crisis. For comparison, as of now stocks have fallen around 30% from their peak, compared with a 59% peak to bottom during the financial crisis. Another significant difference between the current situation and the financial crisis is that the financial crisis came from systemic bad practices within the financial system, while our banks are currently on very good footing and the current situation is inspired by a health crisis which, however dire, will pass.
The critical difference is that today, while the immediate future is relatively uncertain, it is fairly certain that within the next three to six months the situation will resolve itself. In contrast, the financial crisis was a period of great uncertainty where both the short- and long-term behavior of the market and the economy were complete mysteries and required remedial measures for years afterwards.